Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 2994.086845 3234.822582 3478.681598 3743.877068 4023.816892 4310.212630 4625.030582
2024-12-22 2570.299107 2925.402757 3298.639878 3718.942576 4177.815535 4662.360864 5211.443360
2024-12-29 2362.901279 2793.355379 3257.980410 3794.227538 4393.478248 5039.977816 5787.583822
2025-01-05 2175.093747 2656.921592 3188.956876 3815.849769 4530.046480 5314.181687 6235.893074
2025-01-12 2011.457777 2530.993712 3116.503044 3819.173426 4633.324397 5540.845866 6622.603976
2025-01-19 1808.234626 2343.800643 2959.738562 3712.330180 4598.685996 5601.131088 6811.981010
2025-01-26 1753.735300 2327.196206 2997.315163 3827.625929 4817.880287 5950.280309 7331.870902
2025-02-02 1685.160121 2287.842931 3003.039740 3901.122340 4985.037709 6237.495235 7779.922721
2025-02-09 1586.385209 2204.988687 2950.743518 3899.965577 5059.395814 6413.068103 8095.659224
2025-02-16 1484.188689 2111.971851 2880.731420 3872.346599 5097.766176 6542.895738 8355.225583
2025-02-23 1423.527130 2068.340352 2868.938347 3913.713840 5217.957262 6769.382683 8729.904433
2025-03-02 1345.960103 1998.601818 2820.602402 3906.212045 5275.480258 6918.560915 9010.907433
2025-03-09 1302.293459 1972.682986 2828.131404 3970.197447 5424.071701 7182.341442 9436.678424
2025-03-16 1223.449627 1895.959891 2766.944966 3944.011147 5458.043943 7305.021221 9691.005265
2025-03-23 1193.022999 1883.277697 2788.006332 4022.649459 5623.861135 7590.613734 10146.414272
2025-03-30 1142.918274 1840.785377 2767.409052 4045.231451 5717.048599 7785.502053 10490.324573
2025-04-06 1089.012863 1790.310732 2733.813438 4048.702513 5784.192903 7947.016054 10792.822145
2025-04-13 997.002794 1681.159306 2616.597972 3937.103856 5698.623447 7913.060417 10848.457587
2025-04-20 992.106839 1697.923442 2672.099211 4057.529734 5916.960552 8266.119240 11393.250119
2025-04-27 972.682977 1692.204524 2695.626440 4134.275394 6077.987420 8546.877495 11848.389084
2025-05-04 928.588434 1647.720406 2663.117416 4133.067615 6134.734791 8693.420580 12133.355872
2025-05-11 878.234188 1591.496095 2611.922838 4104.229402 6153.085621 8789.418930 12353.418171
2025-05-18 852.957607 1572.550389 2613.114024 4147.421955 6267.897940 9010.833288 12735.358658